If you’ve read my Premier League Previews throughout the season, you would know I do predictions at the end of every game. It’s now time to look at how well I predicted every team across the season as well as what would’ve happened had I gotten every prediction correct. Also, the table is done on a points-per-game basis due to me previewing some teams more than others (due to games being called off/moved to midweek).
20th: Southampton (0.51 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Southampton to pick up 18 points from 35 games which averaged out at 0.51 PPG. I also had the Saints to score 27 goals and concede 80 times which resulted in a goal difference of -53. Southampton did end up finishing bottom so I was correct there and they averaged out 0.66 PPG so I wasn’t too far off.
19th: Leeds (0.51 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Leeds United to pick up 18 points from 35 games which averaged out at 0.51 PPG. The reason Leeds are ahead of Southampton is because I had them to score 28 goals and concede 68 times which resulted in a goal difference of -40. I also managed to get Leeds in the correct position even though my PPG wasn’t close to what they got in the end (0.82).
18th: Everton (0.60 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Everton to pick up 21 points from 35 games which averaged out at 0.6 PPG. I also had the Toffees to score 24 goals and concede 63 times which resulted in a goal difference of -39. I clearly didn’t have much faith in Everton from both before and throughout the season, but they just were able to survive with 0.95 PPG.
17th: Leicester (0.76 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Leicester City to pick up 26 points from 34 games which averaged out at 0.76 PPG. I also had the Foxes to score 34 goals and concede 68 times which resulted in a goal difference of -34. Whilst Leicester averaged more points in the end than I expected (0.89), they actually finished lower in the actual league table (18th).
16th: Nottingham Forest (0.83 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Nottingham Forest to pick up 29 points from 35 games which averaged out at 0.83 PPG. I also had Forest to score 31 goals and concede 67 times which resulted in a goal difference of -36. I clearly just felt that Nottingham Forest were going to finish 16th (read my season Predictions), but they did manage to average out more points in real life (1 PPG).
15th: Bournemouth (0.86 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Bournemouth to pick up 30 points from 35 games which averaged out at 0.86 PPG. I also had the Cherries to score 30 goals and concede 59 times which resulted in a goal difference of -29. Once again, my table aligned with the “real life one”, but I once again was a bit low when it came to PPG (Bournemouth averaged 1.03).
14th: West Ham (1.06 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted West Ham United to pick up 36 points from 34 games which averaged out at 1.06 PPG. I also had the Hammers to score 32 goals and concede 45 times which resulted in a goal difference of -13. This was probably my best/most accurate prediction yet as West Ham finished 14th in the table with an average of 1.05 PPG (first time I’ve gone over).
13th: Fulham (1.29 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Fulham to pick up 44 points from 34 games which averaged out at 1.29 PPG. I also had the Cottagers to score 52 goals and concede 50 times which resulted in a goal difference of +2. I once again seemed to underestimate Fulham as they finished 10th with 1.37 PPG in real life. It’s interesting to see the gap between Fulham and West Ham though as that clearly shows I rated them above the lower teams in the league.
12th: Wolves (1.31 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Wolverhampton Wanderers to pick up 46 points from 35 games which averaged out at 1.31 PPG. I also had Wolves to score 31 goals and concede 43 times which resulted in a goal difference of -12. Even though I only placed Wolves 1 place higher than where they actually finished, I massively overestimated their ability in terms of points as they only averaged 1.08 PPG in real life.
11th: Aston Villa (1.31 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Aston Villa to pick up 46 points from 35 games which averaged out at 1.31 PPG. The reason Villa finished above Wolves is because I had them to score 52 goals and concede 55 times which resulted in a goal difference of -3. It’s fair to say that Aston Villa played way better than I expected as they finished 7th with an average of 1.61 PPG. However, it’s worth noting that they did climb up my table under Unai Emery.
10th: Crystal Palace (1.38 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Crystal Palace to pick up 47 points from 34 games which averaged out at 1.38 PPG. I also had the Eagles to score 43 goals and concede 52 times which resulted in a goal difference of -9. I slightly overestimated Crystal Palace’s ability this season as they ended up finishing 11th with an average of 1.18 PPG.
9th: Tottenham (1.60 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Tottenham Hotspur to pick up 56 points from 35 games which averaged out at 1.6 PPG. I also had Spurs to score 65 goals and concede 54 times which resulted in a goal difference of +11. The interesting thing about Tottenham is they finished lower in my table than they did in real life (they finished 8th), but I predicted them to get more points than they actually did (they averaged 1.58 PPG).
8th: Chelsea (1.61 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Chelsea to pick up 53 points from 33 games which averaged out at 1.61 PPG. I also had the Blues to score 45 goals and concede 42 times which resulted in a goal difference of +3. I definitely expected a lot more from Chelsea than what they actually gave as they ended up finishing 12th with an average of just 1.16 PPG. It’s worth noting that they did massively drop in my table as they were as high as third at one point.
7th: Brentford (1.62 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Brentford to pick up 55 points from 34 games which averaged out at 1.62 PPG. I also had the Bees to score 65 goals and concede 45 times which resulted in a goal difference of +20. I went slightly too high with Brentford as they ended up finishing 9th with an average of 1.55 PPG. However, I find it interesting that over the course of the season, I had them to finish right around/beat bigger London clubs.
6th: Manchester United (1.84 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Manchester United to pick up 57 points from 31 games which averaged out at 1.84 PPG. I also had United to score 65 goals and concede 40 times which resulted in a goal difference of +25. I went a bit low with Manchester United in both points and position as they actually finished 3rd with an average of 1.97 PPG.
5th: Newcastle (1.88 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Newcastle United to pick up 64 points from 34 games which averaged out at 1.88 PPG. I also had the Magpies to score 68 goals and concede 41 times which resulted in a goal difference of +25. Interestingly, Newcastle finished higher up in real life (4th), but their points average was slightly lower than what I predicted (1.87 PPG).
4th: Liverpool (1.97 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Liverpool to pick up 65 points in 33 games which averaged out at 1.97 PPG. I also had the Reds to score 74 goals and concede 39 times which resulted in a goal difference of +35. I clearly expected a bit more from Liverpool this season as even though they only finished 1 place higher in my table than the actual one, my average PPG was a lot higher than what Liverpool actually got (1.76).
3rd: Brighton (2.19 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Brighton and Hove Albion to pick up 68 points in 31 games which averaged out at 2.19 PPG. I also had the Seagulls to score 70 goals and concede 39 times which resulted in a goal difference of +31. I clearly had a lot of confidence in Brighton as even though they had a great season in real life, they only finished 6th and averaged 1.63 PPG. However, perhaps the most interesting part about Brighton is the fact that I had them so far clear of the teams below them.
2nd: Manchester City (2.58 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Manchester City to pick up 85 points from 33 games which averaged out at 2.58 PPG. I also had City to score 94 goals and concede 40 times which resulted in a goal difference of +54. Whilst I once again failed when it came to predicting Manchester City to win the Premier League (I never learn), City actually only averaged 2.34 PPG in the real season. It’s also crazy to see the leap in both PPG and goals scored compared to the rest of the league which clearly shows how high I rated the top two. I’m also pretty sure I didn’t predict them to lose once this season.
1st: Arsenal (2.74 PPG)
Over the course of the season, I predicted Arsenal to pick up 96 points from 35 games which averaged out at 2.74 PPG. I also had the Gunners to score 97 goals and concede 37 times which resulted in a goal difference of +60. Had my predictions come true/been correct, Arsenal would’ve become the 2022/23 Premier League Champions. Really, they were on course to do so until they dropped off a little bit at the end of the season which resulted in them only finishing with an average of 2.21 PPG.
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