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Linus O'Howell

Premier League Preview: Gameweek 12

Nottingham Forest VS Liverpool


Nottingham Forest lost away to Wolves on the weekend before they drew away from home against Brighton earlier on in the week (0-0). After last night's result, Forest come into the weekend back at the bottom of the table. Liverpool have had a pretty good week. Firstly, they beat Manchester City at home 1-0 and on Wednesday, they got the exact same result against West Ham United. The two wins mean Liverpool have moved all the way up to 7th, but they are definitely looking for more. In their most recent matchup, Liverpool beat Forest 1-0 at the City Ground on their way to winning the FA Cup. Their last league meeting came all the way back in 1999, bonus point if you know what the score was. For Nottingham Forest, they haven’t found the back of the net in their last 2 matches and they haven’t won in 8. They also have the worst home record in the league. As for Liverpool, they average 2.2 goals per game but interestingly, they haven’t won a Premier League away game so far this season (2D, 2L). It’s important for Liverpool that they keep their momentum up.

My Prediction: 0-3



Everton VS Crystal Palace


After going on a pretty impressive unbeaten run, Everton have lost all 3 of their previous games (United, Spurs, Newcastle). The losses now mean they sit in 15th place, just 1 point above the relegation zone. After a 0-0 draw away to Leicester last Saturday, Palace followed it up with an important victory at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers. The win means Palace sit just outside the top 10 in 11th. In the last 19 meetings between the two sides, there has been 8 draws whilst Everton have 7 wins compared to Palace’s 4. Everton are unbeaten at home against Crystal Palace since 2014, where they lost to them twice. For Everton, they have failed to score in their previous 2 games and actually find themselves having the second worst record at home in the league. It’s important for Everton that they find a way to win this game. As for Crystal Palace, they have failed to score in their last 2 away games and are also yet to get a win away from home in the league this season (3D, 1L). Patrick Viera’s side definitely have a good chance of walking out of Goodison Park with a point or three.

My Prediction: 1-2



Manchester City VS Brighton


Manchester City suffered their first defeat of the season last week at Anfield. Since then, they are the only Premier League team who hasn’t played in the week which I’m sure they will benefit from in some way. They still second in the table as well. Brighton have struggled under Roberto De Zerbi so far. They lost 2-0 on last week’s Friday Night Football against Brighton and they couldn’t find the back of the net in a goalless draw at home to bottom of the league Nottingham Forest. Despite all of this, they still sit 8th in the table. In their last 11 meetings, Manchester City have won 10 and scored 31 goals whilst Brighton’s only win came back at the end of the 2020/21 season. Also, Phil Foden has scored in each of his last 4 games against the Seagulls. For Manchester City, they are still comfortably the top scores in the league, but they have failed to score in their last 2 games in all competitions. Let’s see if they can keep up their 100% home record. As for Brighton, they have failed to score in their last 3 matches and they kind of need to do that if they want to be winning football games. They have the 6th best away record in the league.

My Prediction: 3-0



Chelsea VS Manchester United


In the game of the weekend, Graham Potter’s Chelsea host Eric Ten Hag’s Manchester United. Chelsea beat Aston Villa 2-0 away from home, but they failed to get on the scoresheet in a goalless London derby against Brentford at the Gtech Community Stadium. They currently sit 4th in the table. Last Sunday, Manchester United may have drawn 0-0 at home to Newcastle but on Wednesday, they pulled out a brilliant 2-0 win over Tottenham Hotspur which means they sit in 5th place, just 1 point behind their opponents. In their last 35 meetings, United have 12 wins, Chelsea has 11 and there have also been 12 draws so it’s going to be a close one this weekend. In actual fact, the last 4 Premier League meetings between the two sides have ended in draws and Chelsea haven’t beaten United in the league since 2017. For Chelsea, they have 5 wins and 2 draws under Graham Potter and they have earnt themselves 10 points out of a possible 12 at home in the league this season. They will be looking for another win this time out. As for Manchester United, they have won 4 of their last 5 games (1 draw) and they have the third best away record in the league. Can they keep up their good run of form this time out?

My Prediction: 2-2



Aston Villa VS Brentford


Since the last time I did a Premier League Preview, Aston Villa have lost 2-0 at home to Chelsea and 3-0 away to Fulham. Due to this, Steven Gerrard has been sacked. With Villa sitting in 17th place, it makes total sense. Brentford earnt a good 2-0 victory against Brighton last week before they drew 0-0 at home to Chelsea. They currently sit 10th in the table. In the last 8 games between Villa and Brentford, Brentford have 4 wins and there have also been 4 draws, meaning Aston Villa haven’t won a single game. You’d have to go back all the way to 1953 to find the last time Villa beat Brentford (1-2, FA Cup). For Villa, they have the joint second worst attack in the league (0.6 GPG) and they have also conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. As for Brentford, they are ranked 6th in GPG (1.6) but they are yet to win an away game in the Premier League this season. Can they change that this weekend?

My Prediction: 1-1



Leeds VS Fulham


Leeds losing 1-0 at home to Arsenal isn’t a terrible result but losing 2-0 away to struggling Leicester is. They currently find themselves in 16th place, outside of the relegation places on goal difference. After a 2 all draw at home to Bournemouth last Saturday, Fulham stayed at Craven Cottage and inflicted a 3-0 defeat onto Aston Villa last night. Fulham are currently sitting in 9th place. In their last 13 matches, there has been 6 draws compared to Leeds’ 4 wins and Fulham’s 3. Leeds have won all 3 of their previous league meetings whilst Patrick Bamford has scored in all of the previous 4 league meetings. For Leeds, they have lost 5 of their last 7 games (2 draws) and they have failed to score in both their last 2 games and their last 2 home games. This is a big game for them. As for Fulham, they are the 5th highest scorers in the league and they have also been awarded the most penalty kicks this season which is interesting.

My Prediction: 1-3



Southampton VS Arsenal


After a poor run of form, Southampton earnt themselves a point at home to West Ham before they went to Bournemouth and picked up all 3 points. Those 4 points mean Southampton sit in 14th spot. Arsenal went to Leeds last weekend and came out of it as 1-0 winners and last night, they beat PSV at home, also 1-0. The Gunners currently lead the Premier League by 4 points. In their last 24 games, Arsenal have won 11 times compared to Southampton’s 7. The Saints actually won this fixture last time out. For Southampton, they are ranked 14th in GPG (0.9) and they currently find themselves in the bottom 3 when it comes to their home record compared to others in the league. As for Arsenal, they have averaged 2.4 goals per game in the league and have the best away record out of any team in the league. They are also on an 8-game winning streak.

My Prediction: 0-1



Wolves VS Leicester


For the second week running, 18th hosts 19th at the Molineux. Wolves came out victorious last weekend against Nottingham Forest, but they went on to lose 2-1 away to Crystal Palace. Leicester were poor last weekend but they still earnt themselves a point and last night, they got themselves a very important victory at home to Leeds. In their last 12 games, Wolves have 4 wins, Leicester have 4 wins and there has also been 4 draws. Wolves won the last fixture 2-1. For Wolves, they have the worst attack in the league (0.5 GPG) and it’s also been confirmed that caretaker manager Steve Davis will stay in charge of the club till at least 2023. As for Leicester, they are ranked 8th in GPG (1.5) but they have also conceded the most goals (2.2 PG). They also have 0 points in 5 away games which is pretty awful. The big question for Leicester is can they build on this win because they didn’t last time.

My Prediction: 1-0



Tottenham VS Newcastle


Tottenham V Newcastle promises to be a really exciting game of football. Spurs beat Everton 2-0 last weekend, but they then went on to lose 2-0 away to Man United. Spurs currently sit third in the table, but they have played a game more than the teams around them. It’s been a pretty decent week for Newcastle, they got a point away from home against Manchester United before Miguel Almiron’s goal helped them get all 3 points at home to Everton midweek. They currently sit 6th in the table. In their last 23 meetings, Spurs have won 57% of their encounters compared to Newcastle’s 26%. The last time these two teams faced off, Spurs won 5-1. For Tottenham, they have currently averaged 2 goals a game and they still have an 100% record at home in all competitions. A loss here would really hurt them. As for Newcastle, they have averaged 1.6 goals per game and have actually managed to keep the most clean sheets so far this season (5). They are also unbeaten in their last 6 games.

My Prediction: 1-1



West Ham VS Bournemouth


West Ham’s winning run ended last week when they drew at Southampton (1-1). Since then, they lost 1-0 at Liverpool but that isn’t a terrible result. The Hammers currently sit in 13th place. Bournemouth continued their excellent unbeaten run last weekend at Fulham (2-2) but that run was ended by Southampton earlier on in the week (0-1). The Cherries are still sitting in a pretty decent 12th place. In their last 12 meetings, Bournemouth have won 5 times compared to West Ham’s 4. In those 12 games, there has been a total of 48 goals so hopefully, this game will be entertaining. For West Ham, they are unbeaten in their last 5 home games in all competitions and they actually have the 6th best defensive record in the league. As for Bournemouth, only 1 team has averaged less shots on target than the Cherries (2.6) and they have also conceded the most amount of penalties in the Prem so far this season.

My Prediction: 2-1


Bonus Point Answer: 2-2

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